Commit f0f0f2a6 authored by jbracher's avatar jbracher
Browse files

Updating everything...

parent 657f91eb
"","forecast_date","target","horizon","q0.025","q0.25","q0.5","q0.75","q0.975"
"1",2021-11-17,"DAX","1 day",-1.57152914236947,-0.295182292861882,0.104228498090919,0.499484115054545,1.58283659066339
"2",2021-11-17,"DAX","2 day",-2.32371665370188,-0.449384869210265,0.200808713624701,0.792686492633507,2.33324122455029
"3",2021-11-17,"temperature","36 hour",6.61567043446514,8.21840283882026,8.97243927314119,9.73068059344852,11.4685930980837
"4",2021-11-17,"wind","36 hour",13.4591072334399,17.6054525506645,19.9968089521247,22.196977855739,26.5938099504582
"5",2021-11-17,"temperature","48 hour",7.02707267269022,8.59856533162044,9.33133774948013,10.0964527553537,11.5939305226164
"6",2021-11-17,"wind","48 hour",15.0824531337348,19.5177417663306,21.90008518923,24.295823468101,28.88318556459
"7",2021-11-17,"DAX","5 day",-2.98031532000631,-0.448601799569716,0.317830991925405,1.08403333598929,3.08340779645031
"8",2021-11-17,"DAX","6 day",-3.28187566397024,-0.453092771923311,0.431842291529563,1.28010319945916,3.51652672910777
"9",2021-11-17,"temperature","60 hour",8.75429041801458,10.6343397288614,11.5380999571924,12.4382422153515,14.2272628227255
"10",2021-11-17,"wind","60 hour",16.8645553290555,21.1754969297571,23.5424948782682,25.7296901083719,29.9683445907247
"11",2021-11-17,"DAX","7 day",-3.35679575206473,-0.362225012005841,0.601610467445612,1.50029247048715,3.83715652111091
"12",2021-11-17,"temperature","72 hour",7.95069205792286,9.69952815181624,10.5412275495903,11.4131663311393,12.9863958271016
"13",2021-11-17,"wind","72 hour",13.4126716609587,17.5748529956256,19.8728946327418,22.162478566952,26.5492329556628
"14",2021-11-17,"temperature","84 hour",8.48855652980981,10.3295866925623,11.2501222549611,12.2526437652045,14.0110086866859
"15",2021-11-17,"wind","84 hour",12.3218961236354,17.5962722753366,20.1481065630052,22.6759697142911,27.7222601977991
"","forecast_date","target","horizon","q0.025","q0.25","q0.5","q0.75","q0.975"
"1",2021-11-17,"DAX","1 day",-1.54343797650373,-0.32416844322487,0.0944938780424375,0.52465379715795,1.39242060217205
"2",2021-11-17,"DAX","2 day",-1.9565053511336,-0.462724242148174,0.165072327412297,0.808803224789637,2.02047159820379
"3",2021-11-17,"temperature","36 hour",7.19445777758113,8.5757864761853,9.28080475447274,9.8933468354176,11.3617059881068
"4",2021-11-17,"wind","36 hour",13.7882216526812,18.1525188718824,20.4424704607395,22.7079012300849,27.0967193117186
"5",2021-11-17,"temperature","48 hour",7.731872697483,9.02638425728935,9.73274747776319,10.439110698237,11.785330888749
"6",2021-11-17,"wind","48 hour",16.2449781700328,20.4607040035523,22.8652025683021,25.268284625,29.8119697102133
"7",2021-11-17,"DAX","5 day",-2.7693541525176,-0.658825020617326,0.235986225953511,1.08612131019882,2.7773211552435
"8",2021-11-17,"DAX","6 day",-3.12135092017086,-0.712971954106715,0.295841734753477,1.10617974892811,3.33
"9",2021-11-17,"temperature","60 hour",9.71872436061509,11.3016405773884,11.9831877165721,12.7765004868147,14.5408418224545
"10",2021-11-17,"wind","60 hour",18.1077129922569,21.980235351982,24.234608612468,26.3430801603896,30.3615042326793
"11",2021-11-17,"DAX","7 day",-3.37847577683741,-0.725192042805581,0.404,1.28463,3.206
"12",2021-11-17,"temperature","72 hour",8.69726188790589,10.2106671737387,11.0112501618941,11.8133657548541,13.3406717837718
"13",2021-11-17,"wind","72 hour",14.6185314577549,18.192221198101,20.6728094775886,23.1550558847443,27.594388707069
"14",2021-11-17,"temperature","84 hour",9.13145269302764,10.875,11.7477556203114,12.601120361518,14.2722179866091
"15",2021-11-17,"wind","84 hour",12.8260294690029,17.9133205472468,20.6699352731085,23.3182947121471,28.5218392126887
This diff is collapsed.
......@@ -59,6 +59,11 @@
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"wind","60 hour",8,10,12,14,16,"Yoda",2021-10-22 12:00:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"wind","72 hour",8,10,12,14,18,"Yoda",2021-10-23 00:00:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"wind","84 hour",7,9,12,15,17,"Yoda",2021-10-23 12:00:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","1 day",-2.65844263691718,-0.485396555504147,0.0657882169970314,0.652898469731245,2.22946787319034,"DAX_benchmark",2021-10-21 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","2 day",-3.76658704113496,-0.754702332963619,0.13670459761812,0.9054642766952,3.10108794007109,"DAX_benchmark",2021-10-22 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","5 day",-4.73040567059547,-0.849379110212389,0.143043446923219,1.18607119760754,3.89032640718187,"DAX_benchmark",2021-10-25 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","6 day",-5.23203014061953,-0.968345906220103,0.193504753259699,1.39125836779996,4.57407374600166,"DAX_benchmark",2021-10-26 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","7 day",-5.68685922947709,-1.09164649900868,0.346636456527527,1.48817956141838,5.19223708311003,"DAX_benchmark",2021-10-27 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","1 day",-4,-2,0,2,4,"Joey",2021-10-21 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","2 day",-4,-2,0,2,4,"Joey",2021-10-22 17:30:00,NA,NA
2021-10-20 23:59:00,"DAX","5 day",-4,-2,0,2,4,"Joey",2021-10-25 17:30:00,NA,NA
......
......@@ -59,6 +59,11 @@
"ChandlerBing","wind","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.24068657518788,13.7321478318721,16.0888225127788,18.4454971936854,22.9369584503697,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.846533152377396,1.19117748722122
"ChandlerBing","wind","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,5.79067569596977,11.4160943980665,14.3677578027102,17.319421207354,22.9448399094507,2021-11-06 00:00:00,1.04342588360561,1.40775780271023
"ChandlerBing","wind","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.6363498234925,14.8243879666068,17.5465573089917,20.2687266513767,25.4567647944909,2021-11-06 12:00:00,1.08132655638863,1.89344269100828
"DAX_benchmark","DAX","1 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.65844263691718,-0.481709571803846,0.0733950537846084,0.662320554605333,2.22946787319034,2021-11-04 17:30:00,0.235718875789296,0.362183790236514
"DAX_benchmark","DAX","2 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.76658704113496,-0.732473649417953,0.142980430012329,0.907244580165889,3.10108794007109,2021-11-05 17:30:00,0.32197483531504,0.446631312722979
"DAX_benchmark","DAX","5 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-4.73040567059547,-0.81103402646141,0.16179836626895,1.18916624608452,3.89032640718187,2021-11-08 17:30:00,0.36201979748195,0.378962247247916
"DAX_benchmark","DAX","6 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-5.23203014061953,-0.933589441129046,0.219661627911449,1.39266918407004,4.57407374600166,2021-11-09 17:30:00,0.387364945028201,0.2833902182104
"DAX_benchmark","DAX","7 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-5.68685922947709,-1.06110544198859,0.357564327371396,1.47103419000207,5.19223708311003,2021-11-10 17:30:00,0.425187520582424,0.315912971287435
"DexterJettster","DAX","1 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-1.81771946224871,-0.324364624775741,0.132224049112306,0.587625273755954,1.65836811742549,2021-11-04 17:30:00,0.186630824631675,0.303354794908817
"DexterJettster","DAX","2 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-1.9565053511336,-0.403422667832487,0.123443620893227,0.702845994161949,2.23012289348735,2021-11-05 17:30:00,0.245726773014069,0.466168121842081
"DexterJettster","DAX","5 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.10031350630918,-0.497557194515696,0.191502017973022,0.899735463518514,2.7773211552435,2021-11-08 17:30:00,0.258357331527717,0.349258595543844
......@@ -209,26 +214,26 @@
"KyloRen","wind","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,3.7600581875,12.586653375,15.888412,18.89478,29.220265825,2021-11-05 12:00:00,1.163732338875,1.391588
"KyloRen","wind","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,2.712087445,10.930212,14.044305,17.53092875,24.443586325,2021-11-06 00:00:00,1.0942476638,1.084305
"KyloRen","wind","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.2699999075,14.60614075,17.5528725,20.28316625,26.796521925,2021-11-06 12:00:00,1.140393270175,1.8871275
"mean_ensemble","DAX","1 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.02825898441139,-0.382001114867622,0.10646219401679,0.633568222797302,1.86430620015501,2021-11-04 17:30:00,0.206305444701855,0.329114176445635
"mean_ensemble","DAX","2 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.74695666220728,-0.609587052303678,0.160394206437615,0.904187452769997,2.60680672504881,2021-11-05 17:30:00,0.290758005947395,0.429215782698045
"mean_ensemble","DAX","5 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.31093102313141,-0.681457329407887,0.201764033474751,1.09415412610773,3.19590694803525,2021-11-08 17:30:00,0.310428364826715,0.338995843046203
"mean_ensemble","DAX","6 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.55656715945281,-0.732380411676226,0.251937471326226,1.19760493702535,3.44623593877625,2021-11-09 17:30:00,0.3132932836704,0.251239975120149
"mean_ensemble","DAX","7 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.98233713943126,-0.688140361611747,0.377582682970036,1.36055346804885,3.85014046324557,2021-11-10 17:30:00,0.342366428869296,0.295946946921395
"mean_ensemble","temperature","36 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,6.58620605884461,7.7506624957451,8.68378920482086,9.50701099823736,11.3500111396742,2021-11-04 12:00:00,1.20617030240816,2.19887807534744
"mean_ensemble","temperature","48 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,5.9984966070696,7.35573287499317,8.24920588295004,9.14893596011242,10.890294935311,2021-11-05 00:00:00,0.495937493984541,1.04353647840509
"mean_ensemble","temperature","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.95356347772432,9.33802823170524,10.2373395363912,11.1364453601363,13.0548273975841,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.55221054855125,1.1363931643125
"mean_ensemble","temperature","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,4.81460433233148,6.40831686470388,7.28975322128959,8.30333526087144,10.2953196880303,2021-11-06 00:00:00,0.288969269542204,0.21697712576916
"mean_ensemble","temperature","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,8.10517745576832,9.86660792726265,10.8222082295159,11.906013247873,14.0972340463277,2021-11-06 12:00:00,0.306994187215521,0.213940398842301
"mean_ensemble","wind","36 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.04714733905533,13.9751781342818,16.529877924591,19.2028606263171,24.1361491198693,2021-11-04 12:00:00,0.822624146821284,0.757120916314101
"mean_ensemble","wind","48 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.35974664186218,13.3216369884164,16.7115266126322,20.1742319234263,27.0266024502523,2021-11-05 00:00:00,3.52403395140322,6.7087822552448
"mean_ensemble","wind","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.8362678914806,13.8965251671767,16.1051717120068,18.3069123196153,22.7969139267778,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.803774682230195,1.173491799993
"mean_ensemble","wind","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.01753841107474,11.8130856280002,14.0781243592871,16.7708662808547,22.0051857623602,2021-11-06 00:00:00,0.864081449792889,1.1128386063238
"mean_ensemble","wind","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,10.0523076471881,14.9813668508167,17.5948664518429,20.1178464249406,25.0170925090548,2021-11-06 12:00:00,1.0300781838756,1.842933912358
"mean_ensemble","DAX","1 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.02825898441139,-0.382001114867622,0.10646219401679,0.633568222797302,1.86430620015501,2021-11-04 17:30:00,0.206305915613023,0.329116650004333
"mean_ensemble","DAX","2 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.74695666220728,-0.609587052303678,0.160394206437615,0.904187452769997,2.60680672504881,2021-11-05 17:30:00,0.290758591639467,0.429217536297693
"mean_ensemble","DAX","5 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.31093102313141,-0.681457329407887,0.201764033474751,1.09415412610773,3.19590694803525,2021-11-08 17:30:00,0.310428841271651,0.338996580042115
"mean_ensemble","DAX","6 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.55656715945281,-0.732380411676226,0.251937471326226,1.19760493702535,3.44623593877625,2021-11-09 17:30:00,0.313249440811573,0.251114374795623
"mean_ensemble","DAX","7 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.98233713943126,-0.688140361611747,0.377582682970036,1.36055346804885,3.85014046324557,2021-11-10 17:30:00,0.342373082130587,0.295894615688795
"mean_ensemble","temperature","36 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,6.58620605884461,7.7506624957451,8.68378920482086,9.50701099823736,11.3500111396742,2021-11-04 12:00:00,1.19477816385758,2.18378920482086
"mean_ensemble","temperature","48 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,5.9984966070696,7.35573287499317,8.24920588295004,9.14893596011242,10.890294935311,2021-11-05 00:00:00,0.500372618381615,1.04920588295004
"mean_ensemble","temperature","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.95356347772432,9.33802823170524,10.2373395363912,11.1364453601363,13.0548273975841,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.55353355200204,1.1373395363912
"mean_ensemble","temperature","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,4.81460433233148,6.40831686470388,7.28975322128959,8.30333526087144,10.2953196880303,2021-11-06 00:00:00,0.286358348915826,0.21024677871041
"mean_ensemble","temperature","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,8.10517745576832,9.86660792726265,10.8222082295159,11.906013247873,14.0972340463277,2021-11-06 12:00:00,0.308302743869809,0.2222082295159
"mean_ensemble","wind","36 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.04714733905533,13.9751781342818,16.529877924591,19.2028606263171,24.1361491198693,2021-11-04 12:00:00,0.823682682093471,0.750122075409003
"mean_ensemble","wind","48 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.35974664186218,13.3216369884164,16.7115266126322,20.1742319234263,27.0266024502523,2021-11-05 00:00:00,3.50992995968793,6.6884733873678
"mean_ensemble","wind","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,9.8362678914806,13.8965251671767,16.1051717120068,18.3069123196153,22.7969139267778,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.805610833195472,1.1748282879932
"mean_ensemble","wind","72 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.01753841107474,11.8130856280002,14.0781243592871,16.7708662808547,22.0051857623602,2021-11-06 00:00:00,0.869279410655725,1.1181243592871
"mean_ensemble","wind","84 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,10.0523076471881,14.9813668508167,17.5948664518429,20.1178464249406,25.0170925090548,2021-11-06 12:00:00,1.03232251566248,1.8451335481571
"median_ensemble","DAX","1 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.04976467492226,-0.38839125675774,0.0777342832969625,0.6356064,1.73087533532045,2021-11-04 17:30:00,0.211775077923033,0.35784456072416
"median_ensemble","DAX","2 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-2.57505889304754,-0.661153491194609,0.140027900120636,0.905783297834439,2.5199783,2021-11-05 17:30:00,0.297560819356315,0.449583842614672
"median_ensemble","DAX","5 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.04769045711534,-0.716860000349991,0.193204562953042,1.1539173162404,2.88964264274188,2021-11-08 17:30:00,0.315962272770376,0.347556050563824
"median_ensemble","DAX","6 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.63802382151669,-0.780501133717677,0.23829450651625,1.19767268981571,3.01097030020352,2021-11-09 17:30:00,0.31770833282615,0.266045984105931
"median_ensemble","DAX","7 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.94690480781968,-0.752178574485322,0.36609577980414,1.35719286699481,3.61684968248609,2021-11-10 17:30:00,0.347965702532313,0.3079242395083
"median_ensemble","DAX","6 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.63802382151669,-0.780501133717677,0.23829450651625,1.19767268981571,3.01097030020352,2021-11-09 17:30:00,0.317258791491661,0.264757339605599
"median_ensemble","DAX","7 day",2021-11-03 23:59:00,-3.94690480781968,-0.752178574485322,0.36609577980414,1.35719286699481,3.61684968248609,2021-11-10 17:30:00,0.348050992822009,0.307381518854691
"median_ensemble","temperature","36 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,6.31578327832365,7.63136770881847,8.32165631218293,9.01194491554739,10.3275293460422,2021-11-04 12:00:00,0.995053527314051,1.82165631218293
"median_ensemble","temperature","48 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,6.24817763140052,7.64982543943644,8.38527159202891,9.12071774462139,10.5223655526573,2021-11-05 00:00:00,0.606815603911421,1.18527159202891
"median_ensemble","temperature","60 hour",2021-11-03 23:59:00,7.99191374474882,9.47950937595391,10.26005246628,11.0405955434807,12.5281911878111,2021-11-05 12:00:00,0.585285634820866,1.16005246628
......
This diff is collapsed.
"model","n_eval_cases","mean_rk_wind","mean_rk_temp","mean_rk_dax","mean_rk_overall"
"AryaStark",34,7.5,9,8,8.16666666666667
"Bronn",34,16.8,15.8,20.2,17.6
"CaptainRaymondHolt",34,7,8.4,11,8.8
"ChandlerBing",34,9.8,5.8,7,7.53333333333333
"DexterJettster",34,16.4,10,3.2,9.86666666666667
"DougJudy",34,9.2,9.4,6.8,8.46666666666667
"GeneralGrievous",34,19.4,20.6,11.6,17.2
"GinaLinetti",34,21,1.8,15.4,12.7333333333333
"HanSolo",34,2.4,19.2,13.4,11.6666666666667
"HotPie",34,11.6,5.8,6,7.8
"JabbaTheHutt",34,11.6,11,6.6,9.73333333333333
"Joey",34,8.2,11,11.8,10.3333333333333
"Joffrey_Baratheon",34,19,8.6,16.4,14.6666666666667
"KyloRen",34,8,6.8,12.4,9.06666666666667
"ObiWanKenobi",34,8.2,9,10,9.06666666666667
"PhoebeBuffay",34,3.4,13.2,6.6,7.73333333333333
"RossGeller",34,15.6,18.6,15.2,16.4666666666667
"SamwellTarly",34,16.6,15.4,20.6,17.5333333333333
"Shaggydog",34,6,13.2,17.2,12.1333333333333
"UglyNakedGuy",34,5.8,9.4,6.2,7.13333333333333
"Yoda",34,7.5,9,5.4,7.3
"AryaStark",35,7.5,9,6.4,7.63333333333333
"Bronn",35,16.8,15.8,20.2,17.6
"CaptainRaymondHolt",35,7,8.4,11.2,8.86666666666667
"ChandlerBing",35,9.8,5.8,6.4,7.33333333333333
"DexterJettster",35,16.4,10,3,9.8
"DougJudy",35,9.2,9.4,7,8.53333333333333
"GeneralGrievous",35,19.4,20.6,12.6,17.5333333333333
"GinaLinetti",35,21,1.8,15.4,12.7333333333333
"HanSolo",35,2.4,19.2,13.8,11.8
"HotPie",35,11.6,5.8,6.2,7.86666666666667
"JabbaTheHutt",35,11.6,11,5.2,9.26666666666667
"Joey",35,8.2,11,12.6,10.6
"Joffrey_Baratheon",35,19,8.6,16.4,14.6666666666667
"KyloRen",35,8,6.8,12.6,9.13333333333333
"ObiWanKenobi",35,8.2,9,7.8,8.33333333333333
"PhoebeBuffay",35,3.4,13.2,7.6,8.06666666666667
"RossGeller",35,15.6,18.6,16.2,16.8
"SamwellTarly",35,16.6,15.4,20.6,17.5333333333333
"Shaggydog",35,6,13.2,17.2,12.1333333333333
"UglyNakedGuy",35,5.8,9.4,6.4,7.2
"Yoda",35,7.5,9,6.2,7.56666666666667
This diff is collapsed.
"time","value"
2021-06-20 00:00:00,22.7
2021-06-20 12:00:00,33.2
2021-06-21 00:00:00,24.1
2021-06-21 12:00:00,28.7
2021-06-22 00:00:00,20.7
......@@ -299,3 +297,5 @@
2021-11-15 12:00:00,5.9
2021-11-16 00:00:00,5.3
2021-11-16 12:00:00,7.7
2021-11-17 00:00:00,5.7
2021-11-17 12:00:00,5.3
"time","value"
2021-06-18 12:00:00,19.08
2021-06-19 00:00:00,7.56
2021-06-19 12:00:00,9
2021-06-20 00:00:00,8.28
2021-06-20 12:00:00,17.28
......@@ -299,3 +297,5 @@
2021-11-15 12:00:00,13.68
2021-11-16 00:00:00,10.08
2021-11-16 12:00:00,8.64
2021-11-17 00:00:00,7.2
2021-11-17 12:00:00,14.4
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