submissions for 20220112

20220112/20220112_AryaStark.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-2.27326170778889,-0.552008300646713,0.0732200814245845,0.692509675117945,2.28083201991987
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-2.72717126545524,-0.652811070170041,0.143093602178427,0.89561881301887,2.70974000836916
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-3.4077585144997,-0.764442762595575,0.231897503355846,1.18640883963211,3.37907130948967
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-3.77112691427026,-0.862065768320468,0.238026209343225,1.25360541979362,3.59206780317815
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-4.1173716332655,-1.04951997693789,0.101176517178035,1.17522011706981,3.57990681808052
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,3.27331926308834,4.85657991305507,5.68731852434768,6.51805713564029,8.10131778560701
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,3.52251127968285,4.94491740128794,5.69125546393174,6.43759352657554,7.85999964818064
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,3.59300085329822,5.21388959893431,6.06437171357402,6.91485382821373,8.53574257384982
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,1.83592270596058,3.80741778675359,4.84186343259378,5.87630907843398,7.84780415922699
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,1.31967416398764,3.77708572390403,5.06649228289497,6.3558988418859,8.81331040180229
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,14.8714506652092,18.8240201742961,20.8112605696914,22.9185009652918,27.8370704788507
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,12.9333320101921,16.5936298082172,20.5364073176796,22.7991848279539,29.6994826436881
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,16.3813345098701,20.1617706088207,22.6135131116848,24.7052556182821,30.5256917986504
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,7.29860237651012,10.3272163975999,13.1175088263611,15.9079188583147,20.4990943925137
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,5.47284457575127,9.33892651025464,11.4853036445773,13.5132719569841,19.0994846244841

20220112/20220112_Bronn.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-2.512008127307646,-0.5419621943702987,0.0758114776579996,0.6861545225672155,2.4119123377944
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-3.447175549057257,-0.7959606872973338,0.1411805413353796,1.002489922976618,3.167938362758453
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-4.393041255537206,-0.9591349096992392,0.2039669509412828,1.274667320159066,3.830877524437605
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-5.065819736710687,-1.0853481853961389,0.2753803874891427,1.4836761750324303,4.337920200456527
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-5.605750937481263,-1.1872132938732538,0.3473350992685637,1.7455319898935602,4.916521746569727
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,-0.6076466241433506,3.401159569861255,5.470825726791228,7.4306777572912015,11.285026756617414
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,-0.2111534501052292,3.3564195366323277,5.215248403495391,7.075370902829226,10.734229377088964
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,-2.7523484119991943,2.090266205039674,4.708804220765096,7.29191870853387,12.133449291347103
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,-3.3492026383843885,0.8250345623607471,3.1166674913859493,5.341353169476601,9.631082439874865
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,1.4517681837471224,3.678928984740515,4.824595110898018,5.972425715466977,8.049147463982507
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,14.844831983997068,18.992527690707064,21.16882820850577,23.34512872635977,27.492824434275825
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,14.838236810625556,19.312313667668246,21.65986674031806,24.007419813510506,28.481496682387704
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,15.22661595134295,20.064644182955533,22.60316296126212,25.141681741863845,29.97971002353213
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,5.3484160264314875,10.108519502098158,12.614321264919576,15.120944753311855,19.898866536333106
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,4.157260810039926,8.900506115689394,11.415647374732977,13.933478682346191,18.73431246633168

20220112/20220112_CaptainRaymondHolt.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-1.6422499402442892,-0.679079574552599,0.4642959023343884,0.8740020500589196,1.2308376467867217
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-2.304615697180359,-0.7022049709286549,0.232121597101198,1.5271965012059852,2.145276844338228
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-2.3821465791454743,-1.0074490129700298,0.3347069864864771,0.9245470596543904,2.928067006949505
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-2.2373562817905857,-0.695266101337122,-0.0516076530846731,1.2412799027982313,3.574189309878858
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-2.394911230663448,-1.3233619160859078,0.5744928483657041,1.8663959946693345,3.665550480617996
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,2.9380527478752647,5.375932007681057,5.876906413416112,6.942520557551664,8.410641123443929
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,3.1472179251397434,4.810101929937308,6.09533384177177,6.569415206477545,7.827133356263558
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,3.2498764411806187,5.063345210673196,5.784312812239361,6.898407402311757,9.066140845232088
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,2.7279030212907154,4.434529066893171,4.918176171207353,6.0331609230888485,7.493269665409745
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,1.1746336515678126,3.6267146171790783,4.251288545593527,5.612320933562295,9.38255775996248
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,13.843588247131503,17.29080969335334,20.761169357054747,23.143516334853917,29.748208534862474
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,12.41723557749137,19.262490238552736,21.8328657316048,24.306337658871783,33.83732236297711
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,12.5799200438705,18.51796519962138,21.73555264650326,24.76286535490838,32.088947994032715
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,6.674754123090489,9.710708813031772,11.868517126011882,14.69967418160538,24.264573041485026
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,4.099965688948082,7.915005108718752,10.824755200486058,13.476427762324864,19.50429541327693

20220112/20220112_ChandlerBing.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-2.023436907806725,-0.5761546296499033,0.1832359798051295,0.9426265892601624,2.389908867416984
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-1.262140141226671,0.1262110232352813,0.8546804122621856,1.58314980128909,2.9715009657510416
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-0.5672142601572392,0.8932588172318024,1.6595706536094168,2.425882489987031,3.886355567376072
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-1.505922197002718,-0.0996304791896988,0.6382523379906808,1.3761351551710606,2.7824268729840798
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-2.8700511780227664,-1.2627645700975467,-0.4194195121343693,0.4239255458288082,2.0312121537540277
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,3.1527867151575064,4.746588469066893,5.582858009237828,6.419127549408763,8.012929303318149
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,3.5500853921328592,5.0277261729826925,5.803045922322965,6.578365671663237,8.05600645251307
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,3.63319642519422,5.198921410036986,6.020459038475966,6.841996666914946,8.407721651757711
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,1.7780193492551866,3.938496835399652,5.072101758004355,6.205706680609058,8.366184166753523
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,1.0936983863892578,3.661698961293008,5.0091316985615055,6.356564435830003,8.924565010733753
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,15.716794319672085,19.965208212271317,22.19435567286682,24.42350313346233,28.67191702606156
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,16.373554552189738,20.659259430541034,22.907973512537797,25.156687594534556,29.44239247288585
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,16.195672683824654,21.02547094911652,23.559671432035323,26.09387191495413,30.923670180245992
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,6.360973800815256,11.04535271980488,13.503251511145145,15.96115030248541,20.64552922147503
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,4.539230293808328,9.508106772734532,12.115281747919076,14.722456723103624,19.691333202029824

20220112/20220112_DexterJettster.csv

+"forecast_date","target","horizon","q0.025","q0.25","q0.5","q0.75","q0.975"
+2022-01-12,"DAX","1 day",-2.00985825250286,-0.351030494228866,0.104736342534206,0.587625273755954,1.70220109405235
+2022-01-12,"DAX","2 day",-4.71394096354663,-0.785351564670655,0.109779856826009,1.05031426283686,4.16215113818249
+2022-01-12,"DAX","5 day",-4.92187623609239,-0.844915461238855,0.217970951898749,1.09582728049165,4.45291769853029
+2022-01-12,"DAX","6 day",-4.99118799360765,-0.864770093428255,0.253884626489231,1.11099828637657,4.54983988531289
+2022-01-12,"DAX","7 day",-5.0604997511229,-0.884624725617655,0.352541477698853,1.45143296252295,4.64676207209549
+2022-01-12,"temperature","36 hour",3.72832054682543,5.32679135778196,6.16551075734116,7.00423015690036,8.60270096785689
+2022-01-12,"temperature","48 hour",3.7576590230316,5.10698907147856,5.81498403784483,6.5229790042111,7.87230905265806
+2022-01-12,"temperature","60 hour",4.30886484468807,5.84480883243969,6.65072033882042,7.45663184520114,8.99257583295276
+2022-01-12,"temperature","72 hour",2.02196136696604,3.95060772483981,4.96257059845022,5.97453347206063,7.9031798299344
+2022-01-12,"temperature","84 hour",2.03747553951216,4.31498408824771,5.50999533862104,6.70500658899436,8.98251513772992
+2022-01-12,"wind","36 hour",14.8448319839971,18.9925276907071,21.1688282085058,23.3451287263598,27.4928244342758
+2022-01-12,"wind","48 hour",14.8382368106256,19.3123136676682,21.6598667403181,24.0074198135105,28.4814966823877
+2022-01-12,"wind","60 hour",15.2266159513429,20.0646441829555,22.6031629612621,25.1416817418638,29.9797100235321
+2022-01-12,"wind","72 hour",5.34841602643149,10.1085195020982,12.6143212649196,15.1209447533119,19.8988665363331
+2022-01-12,"wind","84 hour",4.15726081003993,8.90050611568939,11.415647374733,13.9334786823462,18.7343124663317

20220112/20220112_DougJudy.csv

+,forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+0,2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,13.619057330893805,20.060287553282485,23.44000816345215,26.81972877362181,33.26095899601049
+1,2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,13.449111567034523,19.84985994792636,23.20833969116211,26.566819434397857,32.9675678152897
+2,2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,14.24604963391745,20.841854744532714,24.30268096923828,27.76350719394385,34.35931230455911
+3,2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,6.796331175299028,11.308195838950112,13.675576210021973,16.042956581093833,20.554821244744915
+4,2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,4.654257983455499,8.415933925183838,10.389689445495605,12.363444965807373,16.12512090753571
+5,2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,4.4110355353105986,6.378464476986994,7.410776615142822,8.443088753298651,10.410517694975045
+6,2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,4.534800393457598,6.493375713727026,7.521042346954346,8.548708980181665,10.507284300451092
+7,2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,4.7069767687943305,6.6994188459424855,7.7448554039001465,8.790291961857807,10.782734039005963
+8,2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,3.1714789271963872,4.774184976175826,5.615126609802246,6.456068243428666,8.058774292408105
+9,2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,2.7852135989726716,4.220523282823359,4.973631858825684,5.726740434828008,7.162050118678695
+10,2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-3.292454513888324,-0.6615195699302048,0.1090576992737728,0.8840170427537719,3.277759795910269
+11,2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-3.821658977618156,-0.6844904358013172,0.23606667080552,1.1130785269887529,3.911984031534228
+12,2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-3.752347288825044,-0.289584623909263,0.7177561771002866,1.7205685886788007,4.754476323441001
+13,2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-4.490645139597435,-0.7962924153495337,0.2605699897054751,1.3342632911724406,4.578700649343052
+14,2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-5.768143605078231,-1.5877488187359194,-0.2835303183993142,0.9030839493633264,4.488849105515376

20220112/20220112_GeneralGrievous.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.33
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.88
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.9
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,0.81,0.96,1.03,1.11,1.26
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,3.61,5.2,5.81,6.43,8.02
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,4.92,5.87,6.24,6.60,7.56
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,3.26,6.02,7.09,8.16,10.92
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,-0.31,1.93,2.80,3.67,5.92
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,-0.39,0.83,2.84,4.86,6.09
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,20.55,22.01,22.85,23.8,25.16
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,18.27,20.95,21.98,23.02,25.7
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,21.12,23.53,24.46,27.09,27.79
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour,7.7,10.83,13.43,15.02,17.85
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,6.99,9.38,10.9,12.82,17.81

20220112/20220112_GinaLinetti.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
+2022-01-12,DAX,1 day,-3.292446    ,-1.703183    ,-0.0275469     ,1.648089    ,3.237352
+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day, -4.649822  ,-2.40487   ,0.03791007    ,2.32905   ,4.574002
+2022-01-12,DAX,5 day,-3.538651   ,-1.270092    ,1.121757 ,3.513607    ,5.782166
+2022-01-12,DAX,6 day,-4.644897 ,-2.431469  ,-0.09774755   ,2.235974  ,4.449402
+2022-01-12,DAX,7 day,-2.298001   ,-0.01001309   ,2.402321   ,4.814655   ,7.102643
+2022-01-12,temperature,36 hour,0.53881298, 2.9807686,4.262065,5.5433623,7.985318
+2022-01-12,temperature,48 hour,-0.09014298,2.3518127,3.633109,4.9144063,7.356362
+2022-01-12,temperature,60 hour,-1.73047248,0.7114832,1.992780,3.2740768,5.716032
+2022-01-12,temperature,72 hour,-4.46375450,-2.0217988,-0.740502,0.5407948,2.982750
+2022-01-12,temperature,84 hour,-1.85940331,0.5825523,1.863849,3.1451460,5.587102
+2022-01-12,wind,36 hour,15.91275,16.54500,17.93500,19.04250,20.85875
+2022-01-12,wind,48 hour,15.2570,16.4575,17.9450,18.8825,20.3975
+2022-01-12,wind,60 hour,15.59200,17.73500,19.23000,21.13750,23.50025
+2022-01-12,wind,72 hour, 7.85625,9.07500,10.32500,11.71500,14.11300
+2022-01-12,wind,84 hour,5.33975,7.22750,8.81000,10.04750,12.08250 

20220112/20220112_HotPie.csv

+"forecast_date","target","horizon","q0.025","q0.25","q0.5","q0.75","q0.975"
+2022-01-12,"DAX","1 day",-1.55023995391206,-0.350253270135086,0.104220283859104,0.593773775154072,1.57278746819172
+2022-01-12,"DAX","2 day",-2.42592421802554,-0.798426631187115,0.390632855914919,1.23084059927944,2.42653524971854
+2022-01-12,"DAX","5 day",-3.14017066810444,-0.917033133552877,0.381480612533051,1.44171650741237,3.39933011275082
+2022-01-12,"DAX","6 day",-3.5475720163186,-1.02141915409586,0.399527802272133,1.64016980436447,4.08380057515697
+2022-01-12,"DAX","7 day",-3.96277332669917,-1.11703273514291,0.459727003454418,1.8764616703865,4.61237205945579
+2022-01-12,"temperature","36 hour",2.95372389640815,5.05566143501352,5.73673195140589,6.49766339668815,8.29282564019807
+2022-01-12,"temperature","48 hour",3.11397501305759,5.22998577912953,5.94366151421727,6.66153212528759,8.25044098476246
+2022-01-12,"temperature","60 hour",2.91747935262239,5.39159891238574,6.16931636046102,7.02573860927551,9.01713613667055
+2022-01-12,"temperature","72 hour",1.04684720918792,3.57683462063381,4.40281716654463,5.30322548599732,7.25818294446357
+2022-01-12,"temperature","84 hour",1.29614397435862,3.85345299297857,4.87599605023734,6.04724311797435,8.40026148145192
+2022-01-12,"wind","36 hour",10.5189487678744,18.6748241445789,23.0521898700719,25.9512194941232,30.8455320492671
+2022-01-12,"wind","48 hour",12.3271236495076,20.0042990141221,23.5307076925758,26.5913597636431,33.6454987767897
+2022-01-12,"wind","60 hour",9.68923721808767,19.2954971797304,24.2558483919394,28.0248642039338,34.2728419539683
+2022-01-12,"wind","72 hour",5.31878301465543,10.1562995659496,12.5466637205867,15.2088437207166,21.0601597589392
+2022-01-12,"wind","84 hour",4.74419260180165,9.20140496852511,12.0336573527471,14.863338081461,19.4213083592013

20220112/20220112_Joey.csv

+forecast_date,target,horizon,q0.025,q0.25,q0.5,q0.75,q0.975
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+2022-01-12,DAX,2 day,-4.995042,-0.36890277,0.40714937,0.9723196,2.7603698
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20220112/20220112_Joffrey_Baratheon.csv

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20220112/20220112_KyloRen.csv

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20220112/20220112_ObiWanKenobi.csv

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20220112/20220112_PhoebeBuffay.csv

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20220112/20220112_SamwellTarly.csv

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20220112/20220112_Shaggydog.csv

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20220112/20220112_UglyNakedGuy.csv

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20220112/20220112_Yoda.csv

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